Deeper Study Needed for Storms This Week And Last Year

This week's flooding thunderstorms will get further study from within Environment Canada and the US National Weather Service

Because of the volume and intensity of the rain and the fact it's the second year in a row for such weather, there will be a debriefing.

Severe Weather Preparedness Meteorologist Geoff Coulson admits the current systems aren't accurate in predicting such events.

He says the information will be shared widely, "This is a debrief that will go to not just forecasters in the weather centre, a sharing of information for forecasters that weren't working so they can learn what the decisions were and when they were made." says Coulson, "But this would also bring in our modelling experts in Montreal, what we call the NowCasting lab in Montreal"

He says the NowCasting Lab in Montreal is the ideal place to study what happened, "These are the folks working on the next generation of tools to help us identify these types of storms sooner." Coulson says this would be a prime case study for them, "Given the fact that the Canadian and high resolution models the American high resolution models didn't pick out this event very well"

Coulson says all the forecasters in the region will address the development of these storms.

"This is going to be a dialogue among those if us within Environment Canada, this is a dialogue we'll be having with our colleagues in Detroit, and within the national weather service. There is a Great Lakes operational weather workshop held once a year and so certainly the events of the last couple of days would merit a case study so we could learn from it."

Coulson says it would be a benefit to be able to offer better lead times for these type of storms given the impact we've seen this past week.