An arctic outbreak is bringing cold weather and snow this weekend

Southern Vancouver Island has some flurries and cold weather in the forecast.

A cold air front, called an arctic outbreak, is moving it's way down BC's Coast, and will clash with an incoming system in the Southern Coast on Sunday.

Matt MacDonald, meteorologist with Environment Canada, says this weather pattern can bring a significant amount of snow, but there's also a lot of uncertainty around how much.

"For the East Side of the Island, you know Comox down through Nanaimo, in previous events like this they have been know to see 10, sometimes 15 centimetres of snow.  For the Southern part of the Island, Greater Victoria, it may just be a few centimetres at most."

He says so far this winter, we've been dealing with very mild temperatures because of a really weak El Nino and a persistent flow from the Southwest, resulting in just about a dozen nights below freezing this winter.  However, he mild weather will change this weekend.

"Once that arctic air sets in on Sunday, it's going to be a few days of nice cold sunny weather, but cold being the imperative term here. Daytime highs only around the freezing mark, and then overnight lows dipping down to -5, -6.  So that will be with us right through the end of the week, and then we get a second potential for snow, I think perhaps more significant for Greater Victoria, come on Thursday and Friday next week."

He says that's about 6 or 7 degrees lower than the average temperature for this time of year, but adds that it's much more manageable than the Polar Vortex that's affecting Eastern Canada, where it's getting as low as -40 degrees.

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